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John Durante's avatar

As usual my friend you are correct and add more factual detail.

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Paul Furiga's avatar

John as usual, enjoy your commentary. A few thoughts with additional context:

1) Note that much of the "regression to the mean" is being driven by a new phenomenon: so-called "red wave" polls by firms with sketchy credentials that seem to be designed to produce the effect you describe (getting the MSM to report the race is tightening, when it is not). In PA alone, where I live, more than a dozen of these polls have dropped in recent weeks (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSg0CGn759Q).

2) What happens in the media is NOT what's happening on the ground. Exhibit A: the first day of early voting in Georgia eclipsed previous first-day turnout by nearly 2x, as in, the previous total was 154,000 and nearly 260,000 voted on the first day in 2024 (https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/15/us/politics/georgia-early-voting.html).

3) Trump's GOTV effort (where races are REALLY won), is sucking wind. A few media stories on that: (https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/06/trumps-early-voting-00182611) and (https://apnews.com/article/trump-turning-point-voter-mobilization-musk-07286c2572b02aafefdda1cda093e788)

As a former journalist, I am completely dismayed by the way this electon is being covered by MSM, top to bottom.

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